FWAA member and Austin radio personality Sean Adams dies Reply

Sean Adams, a business-trained, California-born athlete and FWAA member who transformed himself into a motivational speaker and one of Austin’s most unique, unstoppable sports radio voices, died Thursday after an apparent heart attack. He was 46.

There was a moment of silence before the Texas-USC game on Saturday night at The Coliseum in Los Angeles, and his seat in the pressbox was left vacant.

Below is a photo from John Bianco,  senior associate athletics director for football media relations, of Adams’ seat, and CLICK HERE to read the Austin American-Statesman’s story about his death.

From John Bianco: “Have a heavy heart on this game day. Thank you USC for the tribute to our friend Sean Adams. Thoughts and prayers are with his family & friends.‬ #RIP”

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Kellner FBS computer rankings for week of Sept. 18 Reply

The Cody Kellner Points Index (CKPI) gives each team a rating that is reflective of their strength of schedule and the success they had within it.  This is accomplished by using a least squares regression model which recalculates each formula until all ratings stabilize by use of simultaneous equations.  These characteristics are what make the CKPI known as an “advanced ratings system.”

The results from the previous season will be weighted at a decreasing rate as the current season progresses.  Margin of victory is considered in the CKPI ratings and evaluated based on how much a team dominated a game in terms of the number of points they scored in comparison to their opponent.

Individual statistics, upcoming games, injuries, conference affiliation, and location of games are not considered in the CKPI ratings.

Please note:  The CKPI is based on the past and should never be used as a method of prediction.

RANK SCHOOL RATING
1 ALABAMA 138.628
2 CLEMSON 134.719
3 MICHIGAN 123.171
4 USC 113.876
5 PENN STATE 109.296
6 WISCONSIN 103.944
7 OKLAHOMA 101.792
8 OKLAHOMA STATE 100.917
9 WASHINGTON 96.343
10 OHIO STATE 96.342
11 COLORADO 91.255
12 MINNESOTA 84.168
13 IOWA 81.283
14 VIRGINIA TECH 79.993
15 WASHINGTON STATE 79.979
16 MISSISSIPPI STATE 73.628
17 GEORGIA 73.235
18 UTAH 69.577
19 SOUTH FLORIDA 68.370
20 VANDERBILT 66.988
21 WAKE FOREST 66.973
22 FLORIDA 65.513
23 SAN DIEGO STATE 64.835
24 CALIFORNIA 64.531
25 KENTUCKY 63.259
26 TCU 62.631
27 LOUISVILLE 62.030
28 OREGON 60.485
29 HOUSTON 57.609
30 LSU 57.193
31 MIAMI FL 53.492
32 FLORIDA STATE 53.147
33 DUKE 51.525
34 TENNESSEE 50.571
35 AUBURN 47.890
36 TOLEDO 45.913
37 BOISE STATE 45.100
38 MEMPHIS 43.697
39 MARYLAND 43.487
40 MICHIGAN STATE 42.302
41 STANFORD 41.275
42 NOTRE DAME 40.236
43 NAVY 39.844
44 WEST VIRGINIA 38.973
45 GEORGIA TECH 34.153
46 TEXAS A&M 31.426
47 SOUTH CAROLINA 31.366
48 UCLA 29.796
49 NORTHWESTERN 28.043
50 KANSAS STATE 27.895
51 TEXAS TECH 27.684
52 NC STATE 27.398
53 APPALACHIAN STATE 22.740
54 INDIANA 22.194
55 PURDUE 22.139
56 UCF 20.775
57 NORTH CAROLINA 20.486
58 NEBRASKA 20.291
59 WESTERN MICHIGAN 20.184
60 AIR FORCE 19.699
61 EASTERN MICHIGAN 19.019
62 ILLINOIS 18.958
63 MISSISSIPPI 18.783
64 SYRACUSE 15.349
65 TEMPLE 15.129
66 UTSA 14.274
67 COLORADO STATE 14.004
68 TROY 12.917
69 PITTSBURGH 11.006
70 TULSA 10.041
71 ARKANSAS 9.951
72 LOUISIANA TECH 7.931
73 ARMY 6.558
74 ARIZONA 6.536
75 OLD DOMINION 5.018
76 TEXAS 4.814
77 SOUTHERN MISS 4.228
78 NORTHERN ILLINOIS 4.190
79 IOWA STATE 3.166
80 SMU 1.549
81 OHIO -0.419
82 ARKANSAS STATE -2.452
83 CINCINNATI -5.078
84 WESTERN KENTUCKY -5.230
85 ARIZONA STATE -5.322
86 HAWAII -5.940
87 BOSTON COLLEGE -7.886
88 VIRGINIA -8.429
89 CENTRAL MICHIGAN -10.753
90 BYU -11.099
91 WYOMING -12.759
92 RUTGERS -16.036
93 MARSHALL -16.127
94 NEW MEXICO -19.867
95 MIDDLE TENN STATE -21.218
96 UNLV -24.698
97 IDAHO -25.702
98 OREGON STATE -25.824
99 BALL STATE -26.646
100 TULANE -27.865
101 SOUTH ALABAMA -30.717
102 MISSOURI -31.451
103 UTAH STATE -33.572
104 ULL -35.272
105 NORTH TEXAS -37.508
106 AKRON -38.310
107 FRESNO STATE -38.688
108 MIAMI OH -39.283
109 COASTAL CAROLINA -40.314
110 NEW MEXICO STATE -41.454
111 FLORIDA ATLANTIC -41.939
112 FLORIDA INTL -42.661
113 BAYLOR -43.705
114 CONNECTICUT -45.033
115 KANSAS -46.933
116 SAN JOSE STATE -53.157
117 RICE -54.631
118 KENT -58.430
119 TEXAS STATE -60.091
120 BUFFALO -61.053
121 ULM -61.147
122 GEORGIA SOUTHERN -61.762
123 NEVADA -66.548
124 EAST CAROLINA -70.204
125 GEORGIA STATE -73.673
126 BOWLING GREEN -79.696
127 CHARLOTTE -82.894
128 MASSACHUSETTS -82.901
129 UAB -85.803
130 UTEP -87.185

 

2017 Best Feature: John Crist Reply

By John Crist

Saturday Down South

My phone rings. The caller ID reads “Dak Prescott.” He’s getting back to me shortly after I left him a message. Turns out he was in the middle of a workout. He’s still out of breath.

It’s Monday. I’m in Tampa. He’s in Orlando. But by Wednesday, we’ll both be in Indianapolis for the Scouting Combine — the annual meat market for college players ahead of the NFL Draft. I’ll be there as a member of the media. Prescott, of course, is a prospect following a spectacular career at Mississippi State.

He’s the best quarterback ever to play in Starkville, and he may just be the single best player in school history. Prescott elevated a mediocre program in a brutal conference to heights never seen before.

Nevertheless, when the draft experts go through the list of top QBs, his name isn’t mentioned. Jared Goff of California, Carson Wentz of North Dakota State — yes, FCS-level NDSU — and Paxton Lynch of Memphis are considered the first-tier passers. Prescott is a second-tier guy alongside the likes of Michigan State’s Connor Cook and Penn State’s Christian Hackenberg.

He’s currently projected as a mid-round pick. But if Prescott is worried, he hides it well. He sounds authentic and confident without an iota of cockiness.

“(Other quarterbacks) are going to get their hype,” he says. “Just going to camps, even the combine, I don’t know that I’ll make people drop their pen and drop their jaw and say, ‘We’ve got to get this guy first off the board.’ That hasn’t been the player I’ve been all my life.”

More…

2017 Best Enterprise: David Ching Reply

By David Ching
ESPN.com

BIRMINGHAM, Ala. — When they received word that UAB football was coming back, Lee Dufour and Nick Vogel — best friends and former roommates at the school — could not wait to share the news with each other.

Unfortunately, they heard about it at the exact same time.

“Literally the second that they announced football’s coming back, I called him and at the same time, he called me. The calls didn’t go through,” Dufour said, recalling the moment last June when UAB reversed its decision from December 2014 to drop its football program. “I was like, ‘Yes, we have to go back. Whatever we have to go through, we’re coming back.'”

Added Vogel: “We were both going nuts trying to call each other. We both missed a couple calls in a row until we got ahold of each other. We were overjoyed.”

Both players had found new college football programs after UAB’s implosion: offensive lineman Dufour at South Alabama and kicker Vogel at Southern Miss. And yet they missed the friendships and connections that formed in their short time in Birmingham.

They had promised each other they would return to UAB if it ever reinstated the football program, and this was the opportunity many thought would never come.

“That was my primary plan in life: it’s going to come back and I’m going to leave this place and go back to my home in Birmingham,” Vogel said. “I know that sounds completely insane, but when I made the deal with Lee, I was 100 percent behind it. I genuinely thought it would come back.”

Dufour and Vogel are among 16 players from the 2014 team who were back at UAB in time for its recently completed spring practice. However, many of their 2014 teammates with eligibility remaining did not return.

More…

2017 Best Game Story: Andrea Adelson Reply

By Andrea Adelson
ESPN.com

TAMPA, Fla. — The game clock showed 2:01. Deshaun Watson gathered his teammates and told them simply, “We’re going to get this touchdown. We’re going to win this national championship.”

Nobody on that sideline doubted. Not with Watson under center. Everybody wearing orange and purple firmly believed they had the best player in the country on their side, Heisman or no Heisman. They reminded everybody: Heismans are voted on; championships are won.

This would be it for him, on the last drive, in his last game.

“I’d seen the two minutes and one second on the clock, and I just smiled and I just knew,” Watson said after Monday’s title game. “I told myself, ‘They left too much time on the clock.'”

First play, pass complete. Second play, pass complete. Down the field they went, a march toward inevitability. When Watson arrived at Clemson in January 2013, he tweeted, “Me. In a National Championship Game. I’m just waiting on that moment.”

It came on first-and-goal at the Alabama 2. The play call came in: Crush. Watson would roll out and go to receiver Hunter Renfrow in the flat.

“We knew that play was going to work,” Clemson receiver Mike Williams said. “When you want it the most, you go out with your best call. We knew that was our best call.”

The play call was brilliant. So was its execution.

“I saw the whole play develop, and I was like, ‘Oh my gosh, wide open,'” Tigers defensive lineman Christian Wilkins said. “I’m on field goal unit, so I sprinted right onto the field as Deshaun was throwing it. I knew it was game. One second left. It was beautiful timing.” More…

2017 FWAA Best Writing Contest winners announced Reply

DALLAS — Three writers — Alex Scarborough and Jake Trotter of ESPN.com and Dennis Dodd of CBS Sports — each claimed two individual awards and Glenn Guilbeau of USA TODAY Network/Gannett Louisiana repeated as a first-place winner in the 25th Annual FWAA Best Writing Contest.

ESPN.com writers collected 10 individual or co-bylined awards, including 1-2-3 sweeps in the Game Story and Enterprise categories.

First-place winners will receive game balls, certificates and cash prizes. Second and third-place winners will get certificates and cash prizes. Honorable mention award recipients will receive certificates. All will be recognized at the annual FWAA Awards Breakfast on Jan. 8, 2018 in Atlanta.

GAME

First Place — Andrea Adelson, ESPN.com

Second Place — Alex Scarborough, ESPN.com

Third Place — Jake Trotter, ESPN.com

Honorable Mention — John Feinstein, Washington Post; Dennis Dodd, CBS Sports; Matt Fortuna, ESPN.com; Rich Scarcella, Reading Eagle

FEATURES

First Place —  John Crist, Saturday Down South

Second Place — Mike Vorel, South Bend (Ind.) Tribune

Third Place —  Nate Mink, The Post-Standard (Syracuse, N.Y.)/Syracuse.com

Honorable Mention —  Alex Scarborough, ESPN.com; Jake Trotter, ESPN.com;  Daniel Uthman, USA TODAY

COLUMNS

First Place — Glenn Guilbeau, USA TODAY Network/Gannett Louisiana

Second Place — J.P. Scott, Athlon Sports

Third Place — Ryan McGee, ESPN.com

Honorable Mention — Matt Hayes, Bleacher Report; Ivan Maisel, ESPN.com

ENTERPRISE

First Place — David Ching, ESPN.com

Second Place — Mark Schlabach and Paula Lavigne, ESPN.com

Third Place — Kyle Bonagura and Mark Fainaru-Wada, ESPN.com

Honorable Mention — Harry B. Minium Jr., Norfolk Virginian-Pilot; Dennis Dodd, CBS Sports; Pete Thamel, Sports Illustrated; Michael Casagrande,  AL.com/Alabama Media Group; Jack Ebling and Joe Rexrode, Dog Ear Publishing; Andrew Greif, The Oregonian

Kellner FBS computer rankings for week of Sept. 11 Reply

The Cody Kellner Points Index (CKPI) gives each team a rating that is reflective of their strength of schedule and the success they had within it.  This is accomplished by using a least squares regression model which recalculates each formula until all ratings stabilize by use of simultaneous equations.  These characteristics are what make the CKPI known as an “advanced ratings system.”

The results from the previous season will be weighted at a decreasing rate as the current season progresses.  Margin of victory is considered in the CKPI ratings and evaluated based on how much a team dominated a game in terms of the number of points they scored in comparison to their opponent.

Individual statistics, upcoming games, injuries, conference affiliation, and location of games are not considered in the CKPI ratings.

Please note:  The CKPI is based on the past and should never be used as a method of prediction.

RANK SCHOOL RATING
1 ALABAMA 135.545
2 CLEMSON 121.181
3 USC 112.754
4 MICHIGAN 109.251
5 PENN STATE 103.908
6 COLORADO 96.311
7 WASHINGTON 95.680
8 OKLAHOMA 94.319
9 LSU 89.757
10 WISCONSIN 86.206
11 OKLAHOMA STATE 84.292
12 OHIO STATE 83.000
13 LOUISVILLE 75.061
14 IOWA 72.994
15 VIRGINIA TECH 71.206
16 TENNESSEE 70.954
17 WASHINGTON STATE 70.819
18 GEORGIA 67.794
19 MINNESOTA 66.882
20 UTAH 62.699
21 STANFORD 59.446
22 SOUTH FLORIDA 55.616
23 WAKE FOREST 54.005
24 SAN DIEGO STATE 52.929
25 KANSAS STATE 51.847
26 TCU 50.939
27 SOUTH CAROLINA 50.435
28 UCLA 50.017
29 MIAMI FL 49.504
30 FLORIDA 49.477
31 VANDERBILT 49.465
32 FLORIDA STATE 49.432
33 CALIFORNIA 48.449
34 HOUSTON 46.781
35 KENTUCKY 45.908
36 MISSISSIPPI STATE 45.073
37 OREGON 44.543
38 AUBURN 44.204
39 MARYLAND 41.454
40 NAVY 39.513
41 NEBRASKA 39.355
42 MICHIGAN STATE 37.819
43 AIR FORCE 37.044
44 MISSISSIPPI 36.531
45 DUKE 35.445
46 BOISE STATE 35.172
47 WEST VIRGINIA 33.651
48 TOLEDO 32.487
49 ILLINOIS 32.088
50 GEORGIA TECH 31.815
51 MEMPHIS 31.631
52 OLD DOMINION 28.420
53 TULSA 24.853
54 TEXAS A&M 24.611
55 COLORADO STATE 22.311
56 PITTSBURGH 20.868
57 SMU 20.595
58 UCF 20.309
59 EASTERN MICHIGAN 20.307
60 NC STATE 19.341
61 ARMY 19.200
62 APPALACHIAN STATE 18.945
63 NOTRE DAME 18.670
64 INDIANA 16.961
65 NORTHWESTERN 14.965
66 TEXAS TECH 11.554
67 CENTRAL MICHIGAN 10.143
68 WESTERN KENTUCKY 10.071
69 TEMPLE 9.873
70 TEXAS 8.628
71 ARKANSAS 8.479
72 ARIZONA STATE 8.062
73 UTSA 7.355
74 WESTERN MICHIGAN 6.823
75 BOSTON COLLEGE 5.495
76 TROY 5.198
77 WYOMING 3.938
78 BYU 1.202
79 NORTH CAROLINA -0.530
80 SYRACUSE -3.023
81 HAWAII -3.464
82 ARIZONA -3.550
83 PURDUE -3.755
84 NEW MEXICO -3.797
85 COASTAL CAROLINA -5.538
86 SOUTHERN MISS -6.021
87 MISSOURI -6.382
88 LOUISIANA TECH -7.017
89 MIDDLE TENN STATE -11.195
90 OHIO -12.567
91 IDAHO -12.862
92 ARKANSAS STATE -13.943
93 IOWA STATE -16.142
94 OREGON STATE -16.200
95 NORTHERN ILLINOIS -19.473
96 CINCINNATI -20.065
97 UTAH STATE -20.226
98 UNLV -20.258
99 TULANE -20.874
100 ULL -22.350
101 AKRON -23.026
102 CONNECTICUT -24.276
103 VIRGINIA -27.477
104 MIAMI OH -28.115
105 NORTH TEXAS -28.828
106 BAYLOR -30.692
107 NEW MEXICO STATE -31.527
108 KENT -32.416
109 RUTGERS -33.157
110 FRESNO STATE -34.689
111 KANSAS -35.950
112 MARSHALL -37.400
113 RICE -39.472
114 FLORIDA INTL -41.729
115 BALL STATE -43.643
116 SAN JOSE STATE -46.376
117 SOUTH ALABAMA -46.994
118 ULM -48.526
119 NEVADA -52.711
120 TEXAS STATE -53.416
121 FLORIDA ATLANTIC -60.260
122 GEORGIA SOUTHERN -62.000
123 EAST CAROLINA -63.529
124 CHARLOTTE -65.639
125 BOWLING GREEN -70.658
126 GEORGIA STATE -70.814
127 UTEP -73.005
128 MASSACHUSETTS -74.573
129 BUFFALO -81.789
130 UAB -113.210

Fan Plan Championship Index for Sept. 11 Reply

DALLAS, TX (September 11, 2017) – Just two weeks into the 2017 college football season and we’ve already had some major shake-ups in the chase for college football’s national championship. Among the major movement in the rankings following an exciting season-opening weekend was Florida State’s tumble after its loss to Alabama and, more consequential, the loss of its starting quarterback for the season. Then, Week 2 provided another blow to a heavily-favored playoff contender when the Oklahoma Sooners went into Columbus and had their way with Ohio State.

With the win Oklahoma vaulted from No. 6 in the Fan Plan Championship Index (“FPCI”) all the way to No. 2 with a 25.6% chance to make the national championship game. The Sooners stand behind only Alabama, which again sits atop the FPCI at No. 1 with a 34.5% chance to play in the national championship game, down just slightly from the previous week.

With big Week 2 wins against ranked opponents under their belts, USC and Clemson remained in the Top 4, reflective of the favorites to advance to the College Football Playoff. However, USC jumped to the No. 3 spot with a 22.4% chance to make the championship game, up nearly ten percentage points from a week ago, and Clemson dropped to No. 4, though the Tigers’ overall percentage rose slightly to 18.6%.

The top 10 is rounded out by Michigan (11.09%), Penn State (9.96%), Washington (9.71%), Louisville (8.37%), Ohio State (7.28%), and LSU (4.85%).

WK 3

RANK

TEAM % TO MAKE

CHAMPIONSHIP

% TO WIN

CONFERENCE

FAN PLAN

PRICE

1 Alabama 34.47% 22.83% $396.41
2 Oklahoma 25.56% 28.80% $239.63
3 USC 22.44% 29.40% $210.38
4 Clemson 18.57% 20.71% $174.09
5 Michigan 11.09% 17.19% $83.18
6 Penn State 9.96% 14.66% $99.60
7 Washington 9.71% 24.19% $97.10
8 Louisville 8.37% 16.42% $83.70
9 Ohio State 7.28% 23.25% $72.80
10 LSU 4.85% 13.78% $60.63
11 Oklahoma State 4.75% 20.68% $59.38
12 Tennessee 4.16% 9.04% $52.00
13 Wisconsin 3.96% 19.32% $49.50
14 Mississippi State 2.92% 6.19% $36.50
15 TCU 2.77% 11.56% $34.63
16 Utah 2.38% 4.02% $29.75
17 Kansas State 2.33% 12.14% $29.13
18 Georgia 2.03% 13.65% $25.38
18 Michigan State 2.03% 6.00% $25.38
18 Washington State 2.03% 6.07% $25.38
21 Colorado 1.98% 6.07% $24.75
22 Auburn 1.78% 10.76% $22.25
22 Oregon 1.78% 11.59% $22.25
24 UCLA 1.34% 3.56% $20.00
25 Iowa 1.29% 5.19% $20.00

Compiled weekly during the season, the FPCI is a proprietary analytical look at the current state of the chase for college football’s national championship. As opposed to traditional polls and rankings which purport to rank the best teams at a particular point in the season, the FPCI aims to rate college football teams by their real-time percent chance to make the national championship game — a dynamic metric that no other poll or ranking system measures.

The FPCI also includes the cost of a Fan Plan for each team. A Fan Plan is a one-of-a-kind indemnity product fans can purchase for their favorite team. If that team goes to the national championship game, Fan Plan pays for the fan’s game tickets and travel costs, up to the total coverage value of the Fan Plan. Each Fan Plan has a $1,000 coverage value and fans can buy additional coverage in $1,000 increments, up to $10,000 in total coverage. Fan Plan costs are dynamic and change based on each team’s real-time odds of making the championship game. The FPCI and Fan Plan pricing are based on season simulations that take into account a team’s wins and losses, opponents results, suspensions, weather, SOS, and other data points and projections.

FAN PLAN CHAMPIONSHIP INDEX NEWS & NOTES

IN AND OUT: Four teams are making their 2017 debuts in the FPCI this week, including some surprise entrants that are unranked in both the AP Top 25 and the Coaches Poll this week. Mississippi State (2.92% chance to play in the national championship game) makes its first appearance in the FPCI at No. 14 overall, taking advantage of losses by Auburn and Arkansas in the SEC, along with the fact that Ole Miss is unable to play for the conference title this season. The Bulldogs, whose Fan Plan this week is $36.50, received votes in both human polls this week but have yet to be ranked. They will face a stiff test this coming week when they host the No. 10 LSU Tigers (4.85% chance to make the championship game, $60.63) in both teams’ first SEC clash of the season.

Two other schools are ranked in the FPCI this week without being ranked by either human polls. Those teams are No. 18 Michigan State (2.03%, $25.38) and No. 25 Iowa (1.29%, $20.00), both out of the Big Ten. The Big Ten has six teams in the FPCI Top 25, including three in the Top 10 in Michigan, Penn State, and Ohio State. That conference appears to be the most unsettled at the top, as the loss by Ohio State opened up the door for a few more potential contenders.

And finally there is UCLA, which earned its spot in the FPCI at No. 24. The Bruins (1.34%, $20.00), ranked No. 25 in the AP Poll and unranked in the Coaches Poll, replaced Stanford as a Pac-12 representative in the FPCI this week. Stanford dropped out of the rankings after a loss to USC, while Notre Dame, Florida State, and Virginia Tech also fell out of the FPCI Top 25 for the week.

RANKING THE CONFERENCES: There were no changes in the FPCI conference strengths this week, as once again the SEC stood atop the conference standings thanks to Alabama’s overall strength. The SEC is followed by the Pac-12, Big Ten, and ACC as the top four conferences. For the second straight week the Big 12 is on the outside looking in despite Oklahoma’s huge out-of-conference victory over Ohio State, the former top team in the Big Ten. After Oklahoma, which comes in at No. 2 in this week’s FPCI, the Big 12 doesn’t have a ranked team until Oklahoma State at No. 11. All other Power 5 conferences have multiple teams in the FPCI Top 10, led by the Big Ten with three.

BREAKING DOWN THE CONFERENCES: In an era when winning your conference is almost a must in order to make it into the playoff field, the Pac-12 seems to have really separated itself as having a group of elite contenders, followed distantly by the rest of the pack. USC currently carries the highest percentage of any team in the Power 5 to win its conference, coming in at a 29.40% chance to win the Pac-12. The Trojans are followed closely by Washington which is at 24.19%. The two teams combine for a better than 50% chance to win the conference. Surprisingly, Oregon is next with a 11.59% chance to win the Pac-12, followed by Washington State and Colorado who are both at 6.07% and UCLA at 3.56%.

The largest spread from the favorite to the second-rated team in the conference comes from the SEC where Alabama is atop the ratings at 22.83%. The next team in the SEC is LSU at 13.78%, followed closely by Georgia at 13.65%.

The Big Ten seems to be the most wide open of any conference. Ohio State, despite having a lower chance than both Michigan and Penn State to advance to the national championship game, has a higher chance to win the Big Ten than do both of those teams ranked ahead of the Buckeyes. Ohio State still has a 23.25% chance to win the Big Ten according to the FPCI, but a 7.28% chance to play in the national championship game. Further, Wisconsin, which is on the opposite side of the conference standings than Ohio State, Michigan, and Penn State, also has a better chance to win the Big Ten than Michigan and Penn State despite a much lower overall percent chance to play in the national championship game. Wisconsin has a 19.32% chance to win the Big Ten and a 3.96% chance to play for the national championship. Michigan comes in at a 17.19% chance to win the Big Ten, followed by Penn State at 14.66%.

The Oklahoma teams are dominating the Big 12 to no surprise. The Sooners have a 28.8% chance to win the conference, the second-highest percentage of any Power 5 team to win its conference, followed by Oklahoma State at 20.68%. The next Big 12 teams are Kansas State at 12.14% and TCU at 11.56%.

Clemson is currently the class of the ACC at a 20.71% chance to win the conference, followed by Louisville at 16.42%. Those two teams face each other this weekend in a huge early-season conference showdown. One of those teams will obviously lose, and that’s good news for Florida State, which is unranked in this week’s FPCI but still holds onto a 15.77% chance to win the ACC.

BEEN THERE BEFORE: If history is any indication, the Ohio State Buckeyes may be the best buy on the board this week after suffering a tough loss to Oklahoma. The Buckeyes fell from No. 2 in the FPCI to No. 9 with a 7.28% chance to play in the national championship game and a Fan Plan cost of just $72.80. However, it’s not like we haven’t heard this song before. Remember 2014 when the Buckeyes lost a Week 2 out-of-conference showdown at the ‘Shoe? That year it was against Virginia Tech, and guess who the QB was back then for Ohio State? That’s right, J.T. Barrett, who also struggled in that game as well, finishing just 9-for-29 throwing the football for 219 yards with a touchdown and three interceptions. But 2014 was one of the seasons in the playoff era when a team that suffered a September home loss actually came back to claim the national crown. The other season was 2015 when the Alabama Crimson Tide lost at home in Week 3 to Ole Miss, only to rebound and win it all. So don’t count out the Buckeyes just yet. This might well be the cheapest their Fan Plan will be all season.

TOP FAN PLAN SELLERS: If the public sales of Fan Plans are any indication, we are setting up for an exciting playoff season. As of Sunday, the top selling team was Oklahoma. Other teams seeing brisk sales included Washington and USC out of the Pac-12, Alabama and Georgia from the SEC, Florida State from the ACC, and Ohio State and Michigan State from the Big 10. But as Fan Plan sales have proven, owning a Fan Plan is not all about who will be playing in the national championship game. It’s also about a source of pride and passion for their school for those buying them, as proven by Fan Plan purchases for teams such as Florida International, North Texas, Southern Miss, and Tulane. No matter what team you’re rooting for, owning a Fan Plan provides a little more excitement to the college football season.

 

Alabama tops Fan Plan Championship Index

DALLAS (September 5, 2017) — The Alabama Crimson Tide remained in the top spot on the Fan Plan Championship Index (“FPCI”) this week, rising even higher after an impressive win over the Florida State Seminoles. The Crimson Tide enters Week 2 of the season with a 35.84 percent chance to make the national championship game, improving nearly 11 percentage points over its chances from a week ago.

Compiled weekly during the season by Fan Plan, the FPCI is a proprietary analytical look at the current state of the chase for college football’s national championship. As opposed to traditional polls and rankings which purport to rank the best teams at a particular point in the season, the FPCI aims to rate college football teams by their percent chance to make the national championship game — a dynamic metric that no other poll or ranking system measures.

The other three teams in the FPCI top four and, thus, currently projected to make the playoffs are Ohio State (27.38 percent to make the championship game), Clemson (15.25 percent) and USC (14.65 percent).

The top 10 is rounded out by Michigan (11.09 percent), Oklahoma (8.37 percent), Wisconsin (8.27 percent), LSU (7.18 percent Penn State (6.49 percent), and Washington (6.49 percent).

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Members: Nominate your daughter or son for the Volney Meece Scholarship

The FWAA is now accepting applications for the 21st annual Volney Meece Scholarship.

For an application please contact Dave Sittler, 8314 S. Jamestown Ave, Tulsa, OK 74137. His email is davesitt@aol.com and his cell phone is 918-629-3851 (text).

Applications must be received by Dec. 15, 2017.

The scholarship is awarded annually by the FWAA and named for the late Volney Meece, who served 22 years as the FWAA’s Executive Director and was the organization’s President in 1971.

The $1,000 annual grant for four years is awarded to a deserving son or daughter of an FWAA member. Since the program started in 1997, the FWAA has distributed more than $60,000 in scholarship money to deserving children of FWAA members.

The winner will be announced at the FWAA’s Annual Awards Breakfast at the media hotel in conjunction with the College Football Playoff  National Championship Game on Jan. 8, 2018, in Atlanta.

Past winners of the Volney Meece Scholarship
1997  Brett Goering  Topeka, Kan.
1998  Kelly Brooks  Denver, Colo.
1999  James Butz  Schaumberg, Ill.
2000  Sara Barnhart  Atlanta, Ga.
2001  Patrick Davis  Coventry, Conn.
2002  Jacqueline O’Toole  Gaithersburg, Md.
2003  Garrett Holtz  Denver, Colo.
2004  Katie Hersom  Oklahoma City, Okla.
2005  Katie Wieberg  Lawson, Mo.
2006  Kaylynn Monroe  Winter Park, Fla.
2007  Nate Kerkhoff  Overland Park, Kan.
2008  Jack Caywood  Lawrence, Kan.
2009  Haley Dodd  Overland Park, Kan.
2010  Donald Hunt  Philadelphia, Pa.
2011  Alaina Martens  Papillion, Neb.
2012  Emily Alford  Tupelo, Miss.
2013  Sarah Helsley  Edmond, Okla.
2014 Robert Abramson Palos Verde, Calif.
2015 Danielle Hoover Tulsa, Okla.
2016 Dolen Helwagen Pataskala, Ohio